Search results for "Efficient market hypothesis"
showing 4 items of 4 documents
A multicriteria extension of the efficient market hypothesis
2021
Challenging the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) has been a recurrent topic for researchers and practitioners since its formulation. Hundreds of empirical studies claim to either prove or disprove the EMH by means of a number of heterogeneous methods. Even though the EMH is usually adjusted to a measure of risk, there is a lack of a formal analysis within a multiple-criteria context. In this paper, we propose a extension of the EMH that accommodates the foundations of multiple-criteria decision analysis. To this end, we rely on a family of parametric signed dissimilarity measures to assess multidimensional performance differences. Since normalization is a critical step in our approach to a…
Efficient or Fractal Market Hypothesis? A Stock Indexes Modelling Using Geometric Brownian Motion and Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion
2021
In this article, we propose a test of the dynamics of stock market indexes typical of the US and EU capital markets in order to determine which of the two fundamental hypotheses, efficient market hypothesis (EMH) or fractal market hypothesis (FMH), best describes market behavior. The article’s major goal is to show how to appropriately model return distributions for financial market indexes, specifically which geometric Brownian motion (GBM) and geometric fractional Brownian motion (GFBM) dynamic equations best define the evolution of the S&P 500 and Stoxx Europe 600 stock indexes. Daily stock index data were acquired from the Thomson Reuters Eikon database during a ten-year period, fro…
Statistical Analysis of the (In)efficiency of Bitcoin : A comparison of the weak form efficient market hypothesis in the US and Venezuela
2019
Master's thesis Business Administration BE501 - University of Agder 2019 Bitcoin is a phenomenon that has received a lot of attentionduringthe last years. Although the literature on the subject has expanded, there is still need for more research. This paper replicates the work of Urquhart (2016) and examines whether there isevidence ofweak form efficiency in the Bitcoin market. He found that the Bitcoin market in the US showed signs of moving towards weak form efficiency. We contribute to the existing literature by adding recentdata and comparing two different markets;the USand Venezuela. To obtain robustness of the results, the analysis is conducted by performing six different statistical …
TESTING INFORMATIONAL EFFICIENCY: THE CASE OF U.E. AND BRIC EMERGENT MARKETS
2012
Empirical finance has brought together a considerable number of studies in determining the market efficiency in terms of information in the case of an emerging financial market. Conflicting results have been generated by these researches in efficient market hypothesis (EMH), so efficiency tests in the emerging financial markets are rarely definitive in reaching a conclusion about the existence of informational efficiency. This paper tests weak-form market efficiency of eight emerging markets: four U.E emerging markets: Romania, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Estonia and BRIC emerging markets: Brazil, Russia, India and China. The random walk hypothesis of stock exchange indices is tested…